Central New Mexico Weather: 6/12/19

Yesterday was warm and sunny all day.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

Temperatures are a little cooler today, due to the passage of an overnight backdoor cold front.  While the front has passed, there will be some light breeze  behind the front.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a relatively dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.41 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2018 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 10 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 40 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and moderate surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.  The figure is not loading properly at this time.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that the backdoor cold front has passed, and Cold Air Advection (CAA) has weakened.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the moisture will steadily decrease throughout the day.  The dewpoints are in the upper 30s F, but will drop to the lower 30s F by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will remain mostly clear during the morning and early afternoon, with some clouds creeping in from the west by this evening.

Today will be a bit cooler than yesterday, but a pleasant day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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