Central New Mexico Weather: 5/29/19

Yesterday was a beautiful spring day in central New Mexico.  I spent a little time in the garden.

This morning has been mostly clear, cool and still.  It is shaping up to be another nice day.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast by midnight

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming north by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming north by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the possibility of storms, particularly east of the I-25 corridor.  These storms may have gusty winds and small hail.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few clouds west of the Albuquerque Metro area so far this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an inverted-v pattern, with dry air in the boundary layer.  There was 0.37 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1881 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 7.2 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 3 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 31 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are clear, with the exception of a few stations in the east (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under low pressure (1006 mb), and the RAP shows that we will remain so all day.  There are no strong pressure gradients, and our winds will remain light.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong, zonal winds aloft, as a jetstreak exits the region by 0 Z.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection is expected today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible, particularly east of the I-25 corridor.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 70s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop in the early afternoon, but then moisture will blossom in the northern part of the state, increasing in the evening hours.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies are expected to remain mostly clear, with only a few clouds this evening.

Overall, today is shaping up to be a pleasant day.  I will probably go for a run and work in the garden later, as I slowly transition to normal, post-storm chasing life.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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