Central New Mexico Weather: 4/23/19

Yesterday, there was rain off and on, and clouds the entire day.  It was cooler than the past few days, and the nighttime was downright cold.

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 64 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 60% chance showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for some of the high elevations.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows that most of the state is under cloud cover this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a nearly-saturated atmosphere all the way up to 250 mb.  There was 0.58 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 627 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 2 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 11 kts (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and high surface humidity this morning.  The skies are cloudy (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients so far today.  The RAP shows this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, southwesterly flow all day.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.    This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 50s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 40s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies are expected to remain cloudy most of the day.  They will begin to clear up late this evening.

Today will be a little cooler, cloudier, and perhaps rainier than yesterday.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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