Central New Mexico Weather: 4/22/19

Yesterday was a pleasant day.  I went for a run, and also did some gardening.  It was a perfect day for being outside.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) increasing clouds, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 70 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the east at 15-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) increasing clouds, with a high temperature of 75 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming north at 5-10 mph by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) increasing clouds, with a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming southeast this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and a low temperature of 40 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for some of the high elevations.  Downhill, they have issued a Flash Flood Watch.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows that most of the state is under cloud cover this morning.  We have only a few clouds here in the Albuquerque Metro area.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows moderate humidity with no nearly-saturated layers.  There was 0.31 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2007 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 3 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 55 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients so far today.  The RAP shows this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, southwesterly flow all day.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.    This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 70s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will remain in the upper 20s F and lower 30s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies are expected to remain cloudy most of the day.

Today will be a little cooler, cloudier, and perhaps rainier than yesterday.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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