Central New Mexico Weather: 4/21/19

Yesterday was a pleasant day.  We sat outside and read and worked on little projects until the wind picked up in the afternoon.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be southwest at 5-10 mph, increasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-20 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph, becoming northwest to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for many of the counties in the northeastern corner of the state.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather risk for two separate areas in the state today.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few lingering clouds, particularly over the northwestern corner of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a nearly-saturated layer around 450 mb.  There was 0.34 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2127 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 7.3 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 19 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 47 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients so far today.  The RAP shows this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow all day.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.    This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will slowly drop from the 30s F into the 10s F this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are possible today, particularly at high elevations.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will remain mostly sunny all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

It’s going to be another beautiful day in New Mexico today.  I’ll try to get outside and enjoy some of it again this afternoon.  I’m going to go for a run and do a little work in the garden this morning.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Fire Weather, Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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