Central New Mexico Weather: 4/20/19

Yesterday was a pleasant day.  I walked to the bus in the morning, then I walked from the bus stop to the repair shop in the evening.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be west at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 86 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 10-15 mph, increasing 20-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the west at 15-25 mph, decreasing to 5-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph and gusting to 35 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the west at 20-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph, but then decreasing to 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Red Flag Warning for many of the counties in the southern parts of the state.  In fact, just about everywhere except the Rio Grande River Valley.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather risk for the southern part of the state.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the Albuquerque Metro area this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a dry atmosphere.  There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1902 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 5.7 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 218 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 24 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low surface humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows a low pressure developing on the lee side of the Rocky Mountains this afternoon.  This will increase the pressure gradient over New Mexico.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, northwesterly flow as we exit the back end of the trough.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.    This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the lower 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will slowly drop into the 10s F this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are possible today.

The HRRR predicts that a few clouds are possible, particularly in the northern half of the state.

It’s going to be another beautiful day in New Mexico today.  I’ll try to get outside and enjoy some of it again this afternoon.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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