Central New Mexico Weather: 4/14/19

Yesterday was cold, cloudy and still along my adventure.  It snowed hard in Clines Corners yesterday, but only left a dusting on the ground.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph by the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the west at 15-20 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Fire Weather Watch for the eastern half of the state.  The winds will increase throughout the day, hence the watch.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows a thin, humid layer near the surface, but drier air aloft.  There was 0.21 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 366 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 3.2 C/km.  The hodograph shows that the low-level shear was 20 kts (due mostly to directional changes) and the deep-layer shear was 48 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows mild temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.   It is 15 F warmer, but that is due to the passage of the cold front and clear skies more so than a discrete warm front.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 70s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits (F) by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are possible today, particularly at high elevations.

The HRRR predicts that there will some cloud cover by this evening.

I got in late last night from my adventures to the northeastern part of the state.  Now, I’m behind on making the most of this beautiful day.  I have gardening and running to do before I’m chained to the computer again.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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