Central New Mexico Weather: 4/9/19

Yesterday was a nice day.  I tried to linger outside whenever possible.

This morning has been mostly sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 15-25 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the south at 20-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph, but then decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 89 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-25 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, increasing to 20-25 mph, and gusting to 35 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15-25 mph, gusting as high as 35 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a variety of wind-related products for the next several days.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Critical Fire Weather risk for most of the state today.  High temperatures, low humidity and high winds are predicted, statewide.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the state.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows an inverted-vee type sounding this morning.  There was 0.34 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) or Convective Inhibition (CIN), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) height was 1923 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-6 km lapse rate was 4.0 C/km.  The low-level shear was 14 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep-layer shear was 28 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are clear (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning.   The RAP shows that the pressure will drop all over the state due to diurnal heating.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that there is no strong thermal advection expected today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the mid 80s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop into the 10s F by this afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are possible by this afternoon.  Looking west, we can see what to expect over the next few days.

The HRRR predicts that there will be a few scattered clouds off and on all day.

Today is going to be warm, sunny and pleasant, until the winds kick up.   There will be a risk of wildfires over the next several days.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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