Central New Mexico Weather: 3/28/19

Yesterday was partly sunny, hot and still.  It reached into the upper 70s F, probably upper 80s F in my office in Socorro.

This morning has partly sunny, cool and still.  It was 47 F when I left the house, and I did not bring a jacket.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning a few isolated thunderstorms in the eastern third of the state this afternoon.  They will likely remain below severe limits.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows several bands of thin clouds over the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid atmosphere, especially above 600 mb.  There was 0.37 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2390 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface and the 0-3 km lapse rate was 6.5 C/km.  The low-level shear was 17 kts (due mostly to direction changes), and the deep-layer shear was 33 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and moderate humidity this morning.  The skies are clear (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the middle Rio Grande River Valley will peak in the upper 70s F today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop from the 40s F into the single digits by this evening.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the skies will cloud up by this evening.

Today is going to be a really nice day to be outside again.  It will cool off by this weekend, but today will be warm and pleasant.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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