Central New Mexico Weather: 2/11/19

Yesterday was mostly cloudy, mild and breezy.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow showers before noon and a high temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-20 mph, becoming northwest at 20-30 mph and gusting to 45 mph by the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 15-25 mph, decreasing to 5-15 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 49 F.   The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph, becoming west at 20-30 mph, gusting to 45 mph by this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a 20% chance of snow before noon and a high temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 20-25 mph, increasing to 25-30 mph and gusting to 45 mph by the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a variety of wind-related watches and warnings.  The NWS Watches and Warnings chart is shown below:

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows a few clouds in the Albuquerque Metro area, but thicker clouds in the northwestern and southeastern corners of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.19 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 564 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 23 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 97 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.  The Doppler RADAR overlay shows some rain falling in the southern third of the state.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows low pressure over the north-central part of the state, with a slight pressure gradient radiating in all directions.  The RAP shows that low pressure will develop in the Texas Panhandle and that a strong pressure gradient will develop in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong westerly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts some scattered precipitation in the morning.  This will clear up by noon.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in mid 40s today.

The HRRR shows that there will be very little moisture in New Mexico today.  Dewpoints will drop to -5 F in some areas.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are likely today.  The high winds nearly follow the state lines for New Mexico.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to clear by this afternoon.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be colder and much windier than yesterday.  Blowing dust will be a concern today.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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