Central New Mexico Weather: 2/10/19

Yesterday was mostly cloudy, cool and breezy.  The sunset in Rio Rancho was pretty:

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day, with a chance of sprinkles, and a high temperature of 58 F.   The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 31 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a chance of sprinkles and a high temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 15 mph.

The visible satellite image shows a thick blanket of clouds over most of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.17 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1620 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.8 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 21 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 110 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cool temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.  The Doppler RADAR overlay shows some rain falling in the southern third of the state.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that there are no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows none are expected for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts some scattered precipitation.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak in upper 50s today.

The HRRR shows that moisture will surge from the south this evening.  However, dewpoints will remain low in the Albuquerque Metro area all day.

The HRRR shows gusty winds are possible this afternoon, particularly in the southern part of the state.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to become overcast by mid-afternoon.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, but will remain cloudy.  I will do some garden and yard work for sure.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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