Central New Mexico Weather: 2/8/19

Yesterday was sunny, cold and still.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.  The temperature was 15 F when I left the house in Rio Rancho this morning.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 50 F.   The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 10-15 mph this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15 mph.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning below-zero wind chills in the northwestern corner of the state.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows very few clouds over the Rio Grande River Valley.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.05 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1253 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows the low-level shear is 9 kts (due mostly to directional changes), and the deep layer shear is 54 kts (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows cold temperatures and low humidity this morning.  The skies are sunny (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) shows that we are under high pressure, with a slight pressure gradient in the southern half of the state.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little precipitation.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will only peak in low 50s today.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints are expected to rise from the single digits into the teens this evening.  This chart shows moisture advection up the Rio Grande River Valley by late this afternoon.

The HRRR shows gusty winds will be less likely throughout the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skied are expected to remain mostly sunny and clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday, and maybe even warmer still tomorrow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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