Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and windy.
This morning has been cold, mostly cloudy and still.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a 20% chance of snow showers and a high temperature of 40 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph. Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 20 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 42 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-20 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy with a low temperature of 21 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly cloudy day with a high temperature of 36 F. The winds will be from the north at 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph, but then decreasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 18 F. The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a few Wind Advisories and a Winter Weather Advisory for a few of the northern counties. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows thick clouds drifting over the state this morning.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly saturated layer from 700 mb to 400 mb. There was 0.23 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 999 m. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.9 C/km. The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 41 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations and pressure charts (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) are not current. These images have been excluded from today’s post.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, varying flow today as we rest in the bottom of the trough.
The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. There was significant Cold Air Advection (CAA) last night. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts a few pockets of snow over the Albuquerque Metro area later today.
The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 40s F.
The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro area will be in a small plume of moisture, with dewpoints in the low 30s F. Around that plume, dewpoints will be in the single digits.
The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are likely over the northeastern corner of the state.
The HRRR shows that there will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies all day, but then decreasing clouds this evening.
Today will be cold, and some snow is possible over the Albuquerque Metro area. It will not be as windy as yesterday, however. Tonight will be really cold. I’ll double check my plumbing heating arrangement just to be sure I don’t have another flood.
Thank you for reading my post.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD