Central New Mexico Weather: 1/19/19

Yesterday was partly sunny, windy and cool.  It was windy enough that I lost power at NMT, and ended up going home.

This morning has been cold, sunny and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 26 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F.   The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day with a high temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph

The visible satellite imagery shows clear skies over New Mexico this morning.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere at all layers.  There was 0.17 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 623 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.5 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 22 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 94 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate northerly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) in Texas, just east of us.  We appear to be dodging the strongest CAA.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity forecasts very little chance of precipitation today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the upper 40s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will only reach the mid 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will be clear all day, but there might be a few clouds this evening.

Today will be sunny, cool, and still.  It is a typical New Mexico winter day.  There will be a few clouds tonight, but precipitation is unlikely.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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