Central New Mexico Weather: 1/9/19

Yesterday was sunny, cool and still.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cold, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day with a high temperature of 45 F.  Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 26 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming calm.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a partly sunny day with a high temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day with a high temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  The enhanced infrared imagery shows a large bank of clouds in the west.  You can see a few contrails on this image as well.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.28 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 755 m.  There was a thick thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.9 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 17 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 33 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, though there are no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, southwesterly flow over the state today as a trough approaches the state from the west.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no significant thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows some light precipitation drifting into the state this evening.  Coverage will be sparse, and will be concentrated on the mountain ranges.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will peak in the upper 20s F this evening.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will begin to cloud up in the afternoon, becoming partly to mostly cloudy by this evening.

Today should be pleasant, but cool.  The temperatures are a little warmer in the HRRR than what the NWS is predicting.  I think it really depends on the timing of the clouds.  The HRRR has limited cloud cover over the Rio Grande River Valley until this evening, though there might already be more cloud cover now than the HRRR is predicting.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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