Yesterday was cool, mostly cloudy and still.
This morning has been cool, mostly clear and still.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 56 F. Winds will be from west at 20-25 mph. Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 29 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 25-35 mph, gusting to 45 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 60 F. Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest at 15-20 mph in the afternoon. Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 20-25 mph, increasing to 30-35 mph and gusting to 50 mph after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny, breezy day with a high temperature of 56 F. Winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph, and gusting to 35 mph this afternoon. Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 23 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 30-35 mph, gusting to 50 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a number of wind-related products this morning. A fast-moving cold front is expected to pass through the state this evening, bringing with it strong winds. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time. The enhanced infrared imagery shows that the bulk of the clouds have moved out of the state, leaving behind mostly clear skies this morning.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no nearly-saturated layers. There was 0.28 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH). The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 759 m. There was a thick thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km. The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 27 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.
The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with a tight pressure gradient in the northern part of the state. The RAP shows that the pressure will drop with diurnal heating, weakening the gradient.
The NAM 250 mb chart shows light, northwesterly flow over the state today.
The NAM 850 mb chart shows strong Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving in from the northwest this evening. This is our rapidly-moving cold front.
The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 21 Z, reaching into the mid 50s F.
The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will reach into the mid 20s F.
The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley will be possible this afternoon and evening.
The HRRR shows that the skies will remain clear, with a few clouds in the late afternoon. Even so, these clouds will probably become obscured by blowing dust.
Today will be a windy, unpleasant day. It won’t be super cold, but these winds are going to make it miserable to be outside.
Thank you for reading my post.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD