Central New Mexico Weather: 12/10/18

Yesterday was cool, sunny and breezy.  I did a little yardwork in the afternoon.

This morning has been cool, sunny and a bit breezy.  My weather station is down, so I can’t say more than that.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 48 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming southwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 50 F.  Winds will be northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a little patchy freezing fog in the morning, and a high temperature of 48 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming southwest at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming calm by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning patchy, freezing fog this this morning.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  Also, the surface temperature is cold enough to fool the infrared sensors.  These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with a nearly saturated boundary layer.  There was 0.14 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 377 m.  There was a no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.1 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 42 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under high pressure today, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, northwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 50s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will drop into the single digits today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts in the Rio Grande River Valley are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will cloud up this afternoon, and remain cloudy all evening.

Today will be a cool day to be outside, but we will likely see a warming trend later this week.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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