Central New Mexico Weather: 12/3/18

Yesterday was cold, windy, and the clouds decreased throughout the day.

This morning has been cold, mostly sunny and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 42 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 19 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a  high temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with low temperature of 17 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest by midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows some lingering clouds in the northern third of the state, but otherwise sunny skies.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows nearly-saturated conditions below 700 mb.  There was 0.16 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 574 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.4 C/km.  The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 86 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure with no strong pressure gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate, zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 40s F.

The HRRR shows that the dewpoints will remain in the 10s F today.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies are expected to remain clear this afternoon and evening.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is a boring day for New Mexico, weather-wise.  It will be cold, clear, sunny and still all day.  The cold part is a nuisance, as the heater core burst on my truck this morning…

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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