Central New Mexico Weather: 11/13/18

Yesterday was cold, breezy, and there were some snow flurries in Rio Rancho in the morning.  The evening was clear and cold.

This morning has been clear, cold, and just enough breeze to make things even colder.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 38 F, though wind chills may reach -1 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 16 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the near-record, or record-breaking cold temperatures tonight.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with no saturated layers.  There was 0.14 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 437 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.7 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 78 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show extremely cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure has settled over the state, with no strong pressure gradients in any direction.  The RAP shows that this will persist for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows strong northerly flow over the state as a trough passes through the area.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows that the cold air has finished its westward run.  There is no more Cold Air Advection (CAA), and so this chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 40s F.

HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will remain low, reaching only into the low teens F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain clear all day. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will remain incredibly cold.  I’m not a fan, though the weather never asked me.  It will be sunny, and the only saving grace is that the winds will be light.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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