Central New Mexico Weather: 11/7/18

Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and still.  It was a pleasant day all day again.

This morning has been  clear, cool, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning colder, foggier conditions in the northeastern corner of the state this morning.  A backdoor cold front has passed through this corner, dropping the temperatures and condensing moisture into fog and drizzle.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.31 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1144 m.  There was a moderate inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.3 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 41 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), except in the northeastern corner of the state, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning, and the RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next 6 hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow over the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows where the backdoor cold front (Cold Air Advection, CAA) has produced a sharp temperature gradient through New Mexico.  The winds are not blowing very strongly against the gradient, but that may recharge by tonight.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the upper 60s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will remain low today, only reaching into the mid 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will remain clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be another pleasant autumn day in central New Mexico.  Too bad the days are shorter now, as I won’t get out of work until after dark.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Advertisements

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.