Central New Mexico Weather: 11/6/18

Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and still.  It was a pleasant day all day.

This morning has been mostly clear, cool, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 67 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 37 F.  Winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning windy conditions by this afternoon.  There is also a Special Weather Statement in place concerning an approaching backdoor cold front that will drop temperatures, particularly in the northeastern part of the state.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, with no saturated layers.  There was 0.30 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1149 m.  There was a large inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 32 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 59 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning, and the RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next 6 hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow over the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no significant thermal advection today, though there will be some Cold Air Advection (CAA) later this week.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the upper 60s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will remain low today, only reaching into the mid 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are likely today in the northern part of the state.  The Rio Grande River Valley will be largely spared from strong winds, so this image has been excluded from today’s post.

 

The HRRR shows that skies will remain clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be another pleasant autumn day in central New Mexico.  Too bad the days are shorter now, as I won’t get out of work until after dark.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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