Central New Mexico Weather: 11/5/18

Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and still.  A thin layer of cirrus clouds filled the sky by the afternoon.  I didn’t get a chance to go for a run, but I did do a little yard work in the afternoon.

This morning has been mostly clear, cool, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 65 F.  Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 39 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning windy conditions by this afternoon.  A Wind Advisory may be needed for areas along I-40, particularly east of the central mountain chain.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere, though there is a nearly-saturated layer around 600 mb.  There was 0.38 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1506 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 16 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 95 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning, and the RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next 6 hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow over the state.  The ridge is attenuating, but we still have strong flow aloft.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no significant thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 60s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will remain low today, only reaching into the mid 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are likely today, particularly east of the central mountain range.

The HRRR shows that skies will remain clear all day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be a windy, but otherwise pleasant day.  It looks like there will be mild temperature, no chance of precipitation and clear skies all day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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