Central New Mexico Weather: 11/4/18

A few days ago, strong straight-line winds passed through the east coast.  My father sent me this photo (I’m not sure who the original photographer was) of a truck on the scary Harry Nice Bridge that crosses the Potomac River from southern Maryland to Virginia’s Northern Neck:

Yesterday was sunny, mild and windy.  I went for a run, and even though the sun was bright, the wind was chilly.

This morning has been mostly clear, cool, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature near 62 F.  Winds will be light and variable, becoming the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 42 F.  Winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F.  The winds will be from the west at 15 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with no saturated layers.  There was 0.23 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 855 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 16 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 54 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning, and the RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next 6 hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate northwesterly flow over the state.  The ridge is attenuating, but we still have strong flow aloft.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no significant thermal advection.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that showers and thunderstorms are unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 60s F.

The HRRR shows that the the dewpoints will remain low today, only reaching into the upper 20s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are not very likely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will become cloudy over the Rio Grande River Valley by the afternoon.

Today will be a cool, but pleasant day.  I have some yardwork to do later on.  I’d like to get out for a run as well, but that is less likely.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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