Central New Mexico Weather: 10/20/18

Yesterday was mild, sunny and a bit breezy in the afternoon.  Otherwise, it was a pleasant autumn day.

This morning has been sunny, mild, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 71 F.  Winds will be from the southeast at 10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  Winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F.  The winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming south after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows that most of the clouds have moved out of the Albuquerque Metro area, with only a few clouds in the very southern part of the state.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly saturated layer around 600 mb.  There was 0.42 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1751 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 4 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 31 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over the state this morning, with no strong pressure gradient.  The RAP shows that this will persist throughout at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate southwesterly flow as a trough enters the state from the west.  There is an upper-level low has drifted west, now over California.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no significant thermal advection, as the cold air is already here.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity is not showing any precipitation over the Rio Grande River Valley today.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 70s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will be dry, with a dryline running through the state west to east through the very bottom row of counties.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are not very likely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will be clear this afternoon.  A few clouds will being to creep in from the south by late this evening.

Today will be quite a pleasant day.  JoAnna and I are scheming places to visit, just to be outside.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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