Central New Mexico Weather: 10/10/18

Yesterday was mostly sunny, cool and still.  I walked around Socorro in the evening, and was comfortable in a sweatshirt.

This morning, the weather is mostly clear, cool, and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 69 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 72 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 65 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued several Freeze Warnings for this morning.  They have also issued Special Weather Statement about the increased moisture due to Tropical Storm Sergio.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is not available at this time.  Also, the infrared imagery shows very few clouds.  Satellite imagery has been excluded from today’s post.

 

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid atmosphere below 600 mb.   There was 0.45 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 543 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 33 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 72 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and moderately high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly clear, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows zonal flow, due to being at the bottom of the trough.  The trough is also attenuating as it pushes east.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 70s F.

The HRRR shows that the atmosphere will be relatively dry.  Dewpoints, in spite of the approaching tropical storm, will remain in the 20s F and 30s F today.

The HRRR shows strong winds are not likely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR shows that skies will be mostly clear all day.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

I started today by putting on a long-sleeved shirt, but I think I’ll trade it in for a short sleeve shirt in a few minutes.  It isn’t nearly as cold as that.  Today should be a sunny, pleasant day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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