Central New Mexico Weather: 9/30/18

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.  I did a little work outside, rerouting some antenna cables and some garden hoses.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cool and still.  There were some M5 altocumulus clouds to my southeast.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 87 F.  Winds will be light and variable, becoming south at 5-10 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 59 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning fog in the eastern half of the state this morning.  Low clouds will have the visibility to less than a mile in some areas.  Also, Hurricane Rosa’s remnants will pass through later this week, bringing rain and the potential for flooding.

The visible satellite imagery shows lingering low clouds and fog over the southeastern corner of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a mostly dry atmosphere, though there was a moisture peak at 600 mb.  There was 0.53 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1406 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 21 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 20 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are cloudy and foggy in a few spots.  The winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal to southwesterly flow over the state today.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows very little chance of precipitation today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the upper 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will remain dry today.  The dryline will push east throughout the day, leaving us in 30’s F degree dewpoints.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will clear for most of the day.  However, some clouds will begin to form and move into the western half of the state this evening.

Today will become dry and warm again.  I am going to go for a run before it gets too hot.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.