Central New Mexico Weather: 9/27/18

Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and still.

This morning has been mostly sunny, cool and still.  There was some fog in the north valley.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 83 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 51 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming light and northwest by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be  clear, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows fog over the eastern part of the state, but clear skies otherwise this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a damp boundary layer below 750 mb, and dry air aloft.  There was 0.47 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 461 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 31 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are sunny over the Albuquerque Metro area, though clouds (fog) is being reported over the eastern third of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate northwesterly flow as a low-amplitude trough passes through the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows very little chance of precipitation today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will dry out significantly by this evening.  Dewpoints will drop into the teens and single digit F range by mid-afternoon.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts are unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that skies will clear out by midday.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will become dry and warm again.  Otherwise, today will be a boring day, weatherwise- dry, still and no storms!

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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