Central New Mexico Weather: 9/24/18

Yesterday was a bit warmer, but still a nice day.  I spent most of the day inside, unfortunately.

This morning has been sunny, cool and still.  There were some H1 cirrus hooks over Albuquerque this morning.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 85 F.  Winds will be from the east at 5-15 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 56 F.  Winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly saturated layer at 300 mb, as well as another moisture peak around 600 mb.  There was 0.52 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1907 m.  There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 43 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderately low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.  A few stations in the western part of the state are reporting cloudy skies.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the mid 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will remain dry today, with dewpoints in the 30’s F all day.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be unlikely today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that a few clouds will creep in from the west this evening.

Today is going to be a beautiful day!  I will try to get outside for a bit, perhaps and evening walk.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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