Central New Mexico Weather: 9/22/18

Yesterday was a bit breezy, but an otherwise beautiful day.  I don’t think we saw 20 mph winds in Socorro, even with the breeze.  We did have a nice sunset yesterday in Albuquerque.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 82 F.  Winds will be calm, becoming west at 5 mph in the afternoon.  Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F.  Winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming east after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  Tonight will be clear, with a low temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a  high temperature of 74 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, has a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning morning fog over the eastern part of the state.  It has likely already mixed out.  It does warn us of a Chamber of Commerce afternoon, whatever that means…

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid layer around 725 mb, with moderate humidity below this level.  There was 0.66 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 758 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.7 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 1 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 25 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are mostly sunny, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over northeastern New Mexico, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows moderate zonal flow as a weak jetstreak passes through the center of the state.

The NAM 850 mb chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low 80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro will dry out by this afternoon, with dewpoints dropping into the 20’s F.

The HRRR shows strong wind gusts will be unlikely today.   This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that clouds will be very limited today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

 

Today is going to be a beautiful day!  I am going to ride up to Las Vegas, NM, in the pickup with the windows down.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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