Central New Mexico Weather: 8/30/18

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still.  It was a beautiful day!

This morning has been mild and still, with high cirrus clouds that make the skies mostly cloudy.  Sunrise was pretty this morning, again.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature near 90 F.  Winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, and a low temperature of 63 F.  Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming calm after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature near 97 F. The winds will be from southeast at 5-10 mph.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 67 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 88 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a low temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest by midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows a thin, high blanket of clouds over the southeastern corner of the state.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows that some moisture has returned. There was 0.69 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2032 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 19 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 4 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that thermal low pressure is expected to develop over the eastern half of the state within the next six hours.  No strong pressure gradients are expected with this thermal low.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows zonal flow over the state today.

The NAM 850mb chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows a few scattered showers by this afternoon.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the upper-90’s F, nearing 100 F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro area will remain dry today, with dewpoints only reaching into the mid 30’s.  The dryline will remain well east of the I-25 corridor.

The HRRR shows no strong wind gusts today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that there will be light cloud cover all day today.

Today will be warm, sunny, and dry.  I am a little done with the humid weather anyhow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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