Central New Mexico Weather: 8/27/18

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still, though we did get a brief evening thunderstorm with some gusty winds.

This morning has been sunny, mild and still.  There was a few lenticular clouds over the Sandias this morning:

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature near 88 F.  Winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph.  Tonight will be mostly clear, and a low temperature of 60 F.  Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature near 89 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 62 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 81 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows very few clouds over the I-25 corridor and Albuquerque Metro area today.  There are a few in the south, and a few over the mountains.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly-saturated layer near 550 mb. There was 0.89 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was 64 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -176 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1147 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 47 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear and sunny, and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that thermal low pressure is expected to develop over the eastern half of the state within the next six hours.  No strong pressure gradients are expected with this thermal low.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows zonal to southwesterly flow over New Mexico today.  A weak jetstreak will nose into the western part of the state this evening.

The NAM 850mb chart shows no strong thermal advection for this forecast period.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 21 Z, reaching into the upper-80’s F.

The HRRR shows that the Albuquerque Metro area will dry out this evening, with dewpoints dropping into the mid-30’s by the late afternoon.

The HRRR shows no strong wind gusts today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that cloud cover will be light today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm, mostly sunny, and drier by the afternoon.  It should be a pleasant day!

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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