Yesterday, was a pleasant drive, minus about an hour of cloudy, rainy skies in South Dakota. We punched west of the storms and went back to open windows and nice weather.
This morning has been mild, mostly sunny and still.
The NWS in Boulder, CO, forecasts (for Westminster, CO) a mostly sunny day, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be light and variable, becoming easterly at 5-9 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy night, with a 30% chance of thunderstorms (some of which may be severe), and a low temperature of 66 F. Winds will be from the south at 10 mph, becoming east after midnight.
The NWS in Pueblo, CO, has issued Flash Flood Watches in southern Colorado.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Slight Risk for part of our travel route.
Associated with the Slight Risk is a 2% Tornado Threat Ring.
Visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear and sunny over our route. Winds are light and variable.
The surface pressure chart shows there are no strong pressure systems or gradients, and none are expected to develop over the next six hours.
The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that storms are expected to fire along the I-25 corridor. Some of these storms have helicity tracks, and may be discrete.
We will see our high temperatures in southern Colorado, depending on when we leave and how much time we spend at different places. According to the HRRR, temperatures will reach the upper 80’s in the afternoon.
The HRRR supercell composite shows non-zero values through southeastern Colorado and northeastern New Mexico this afternoon.
It looks like a pleasant drive this morning and afternoon. We will have to watch the radar closely this evening to avoid running into severe storms as we enter Colorado.
Thank you for reading my post.
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD