Central New Mexico Weather: 3/21/18

Yesterday was a perfect.  Mild, sunny and still winds.  I didn’t get to spend much time outside at all.

This morning has been clear, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Fire Weather Watch for the eastern third of the state today.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows a few thin clouds in the northwestern corner of the state today.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows dry air over most of the state.  There is some moisture associated with the thin clouds in the northwestern corner.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows nearly-saturated conditions above 600 mb, but a dry boundary layer.  There was 0.29 inches of precipitable water in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 2268 m.  There was a small  thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 58 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that the state is under slightly higher pressure with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows that there will be light southwesterly flow, as the ridge passes through.  This ridge is responsible for the warming trend.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 23 Z, reaching into the low-70’s.

The HRRR shows that winds will be calm for most of the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows a few clouds will drift into the state by this evening.

Today will be mild and sunny with calm winds.  It will be another beautiful day.  I’ll see if I get a chance to spend any time outside, but probably not.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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