Central New Mexico Weather: 3/20/18

Yesterday was a little chilly, but overall pleasant.  It was just cool enough to require a jacket, but just warm enough that a jacket was too much.

This morning has been clear, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 61 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 33 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 38 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 60 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 34 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west in the evening.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook, as there will be some patchy areas of fire weather, with strong winds, dry fuels and dry air.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows very few clouds.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows dry air over most of the state this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning.   There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1624 m.  There were several small thermal inversions aloft, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 63 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that the state is under slightly higher pressure with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows that there will be moderate northwesterly flow as we enter a low-amplitude ridge.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 23 Z, reaching into the mid-60’s.  We are entering a slight warming trend as the ridge passes over us.

The HRRR shows that winds will be calm for most of the day.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows very few clouds today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be mild and sunny with much calmer winds.  It should be a pleasant day, and I will get to do some walking in it.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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