Central New Mexico Weather: 3/12/18

Yesterday was miserable.  It was cool, rainy and cloudy all day.  In the evening, we had snow flurries.

This morning has been cloudy, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast by midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 37 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 36 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows a thin blanket of clouds over the state today.  The clouds have low, warm tops.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows that dry air is returning from the north.  There is still some moisture in the south, associated with the showers from yesterday.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows nearly-saturated conditions below 600 mb.  There was 0.45 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was  150 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 8 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 45 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are cloudy (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is high pressure over the state this morning, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease throughout the next six hours, but that no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows that there is some light zonal to northwesterly flow over the state today.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 22 Z, reaching into the low-50’s.

The HRRR shows that strong winds are not anticipated today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will be cloudy all morning.  By the evening, the clouds will begin to move out and mix out to partly cloudy skies.

Today will be cool, mostly cloudy and still.  The chances of precipitation will taper off throughout the day.  We will enter a slight warming trend starting tomorrow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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