Southwestern New Mexico Weather: 3/8/18

Yesterday was pleasant.  It was sunny, mild and still, becoming overcast by the afternoon.  We drove to Deming, NM, last night and will spend the next several days here.

This morning has been overcast, cool and still.

The NWS in El Paso, TX, forecasts (for Deming, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, gusting as high as 22 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the west at 11-14 mph, gusting as high as 18 mph.

The NWS in El Paso, TX, forecasts (for Silver City, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 68 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, gusting as high as 21 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the west northwest at 8-11 mph.

The NWS in El Paso, TX, forecasts (for Lordsburg, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F.  The winds will be from the west 8-13 mph.   This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 44 F.  The winds will be from the west northwest at 9 mph.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows clouds over the southern third of the state, including Deming, Lordsburg and Silver City.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows that there is moisture over most of the state this morning- even though the boundary layer may be dry.

The 12Z upper air sounding from El Paso shows a saturated layer from 550 mb to 450 mb. There was 0.31 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was  2649 m.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.3 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 4 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 56 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and extremely low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear, with a few exceptions (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows that a low-amplitude ridge is passing through New Mexico today, contributing to our warming trend.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures will reach into the upper 70’s today, peaking at around 23 Z.

The HRRR shows that strong winds are not anticipated today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain partly cloudy for most of the day.

Today will be a pleasant day in southwestern New Mexico.  It will be warm, slightly breezy and partly cloudy.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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