Central New Mexico Weather: 3/6/18

Yesterday was almost pleasant.  It was sunny, cool and a bit breezy.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 25 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10 mph.   This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 52 F.  The winds will be from the north 5-10 mph.   This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows very few clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows mostly dry air, though there is a little moisture over the southern half of the state this morning.  This moisture is well above the boundary layer, however, leading to extremely dry surface conditions.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.04 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was  2374 m.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.6 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 26 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 67 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and extremely low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows a strong high pressure system over the northwestern corner of the state, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that the high pressure will remain, and no gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The NAM 250 mb chart shows that New Mexico is under zonal flow today.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR predicts that the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 23 Z, reaching into the upper-50’s and low-60’s.

The HRRR shows that strong winds are not anticipated today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain mostly clear, though clouds will begin to cover the southern half of the state by the afternoon and evening hours.

Today will be another sunny day, becoming cloudy in the south by the afternoon.  Winds will be lighter than they have been for the past few days, and the temperature will remain a few degrees below average.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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