Central New Mexico Weather: 2/16/18

Yesterday was mild, still and cloudy, with off and on rain.

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 32 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a cloudy day, with a 40% chance of showers, and a high temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a cloudy day, with a 40% chance of showers and a high temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.   This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a 20% chance of showers and a low temperature of 33 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning some continued snowfall at elevations above 9000 ft.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows that there are still relatively thick clouds over much of the state today.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows that there is plenty of moisture over the state this morning.  This moisture is deep, too, as it shows up on both the low-level and upper-level charts again this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly-saturated atmosphere, with the exception of a dry layer between 650 mb to 450 mb.  There was 0.35 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 327 m.  There was no thermal inversion above the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 8 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 86 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are cloudy over the southern half of the state (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.  The Doppler RADAR shows that many locations are receiving precipitation this morning, particularly along the Rio Grande River Valley.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation will continue through the morning and into the afternoon for the southern half of the state.  The chances of precipitation north of I-40 will be significantly lower throughout the day.

The HRRR has the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will peak around 23 Z, reaching into the upper-40’s.

The HRRR shows that strong winds are not likely today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will remain mostly cloudy all day, statewide.

Today will be cloudy and rainy in the southern half of the state, and cloudy with less rain in the northern half of the state.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery, Winter Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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