Central New Mexico Weather: 2/13/18

Yesterday was partly sunny, mild and cool.

This morning has been mostly clear, still and cold.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 64 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 63 F.  The winds will be from the south 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 36 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F.  The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.   This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 35 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10 mph.

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows a few light clouds over the state this morning.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows a few patches of moisture, associated with the light cloud cover.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows variable moisture, with no particularly dry layers or saturated layers.  There was 0.26 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1636 m.  There was a tiny thermal inversion above the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.7 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 19 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 67 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows slightly higher pressure over the state, with no strong pressure gradients present.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows precipitation is unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR has the high temperatures for the Rio Grande River Valley will reach into the upper 50’s and low 60’s, peaking at around 23 Z.

The HRRR shows that strong winds are not expected today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR shows that the skies will begin to cloud up this evening ahead of the next storm system.  By 01 Z, most of the state will be under broken to overcast skies.

Today will be slightly warmer than yesterday.  The wind will not be as strong, either.  However, the skies will cloud up this afternoon and our chances of precipitation increase starting tomorrow.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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