Central New Mexico Weather: 1/26/18

Yesterday was sunny, cool and was breezy off and on.  It was warm enough for a light jacket, and while it was warmer than the day before, it was also a little breezier.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 51 F.  The winds will from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest at 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 57 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 21 F.  The winds will be from the north at 10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 17 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS has also issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for increasingly strong winds, especially just east of the central mountain range, as a dry, Pacific front moves through the area.  They have issued High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories for parts of several counties, as shown in the Watches and Warnings graphic below:

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows a few thicker clouds over the southern half of the state this morning.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows a dry atmosphere over the north, and more humid air to the south.  If you notice the texture of this image, you can see the effects of the mountain wave pattern in the moisture.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque a relatively dry atmosphere.  There was 0.18 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1339 m.  There was a moderate thermal inversion above the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.6 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 25 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 79 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors), with a light, variable wind.

The surface pressure chart shows that a lee-side low pressure system has formed east of the Rocky Mountains in southeastern Colorado.  This system has lowered the pressure over the eastern part of the state, and generated a moderate pressure gradient there.  The RAP shows that this system will move east and that high pressure will begin to push back into the area from the northwest.  This will tighten the pressure gradient over the next six hours, increasing our wind speeds.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows no precipitation is expected today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR has the high temperatures for Rio Rancho reaching into the low-50’s around 22 Z.

The HRRR shows that the winds will be strongest just east of the central mountain chain from 17 Z to 22 Z.  At their peak, gusts could reach 50 mph.

Today will be sunny, mild, and breezy.  While the Rio Grande River Valley will not see as much wind as just east of the central mountain chain, it will still be breezy off and on today.  Precipitation is highly unlikely, and the skies should remain clear all day and night.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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