Central New Mexico Weather: 1/14/18

Yesterday was sunny, cool and still.  The winds were more calm yesterday, but I was cold.  I don’t know that it was necessarily that cold outside, but I was cold anyhow.

This morning has been clear, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny cloudy day, with a high temperature of 56 F.  The winds will from the north at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5  mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 58 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 53 F.  The winds will be from the north 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 30 F.  The winds will be from the southeast 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning two potential winter events, one Tuesday night and one Friday night.  I will discuss these in greater detail as they approach.

The visible satellite image shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite image shows very few clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows dry air over most of the state this morning, which explains the sunny skies.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows some moisture, but an extremely dry layer from 700 mb to 600 mb.  There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1134 m.  There was no thermal inversion the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 15 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 34 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is 1034 mb high pressure near the Four Corners area, generating a very weak pressure gradient.  The RAP shows the high pressure decreasing to 1024 mb, but the pressure gradient will weaken significantly, over the next six hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is unlikely today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR has the high temperatures around 23 Z; we will reach the mid 50’s here in Rio Rancho.

The HRRR shows the winds gusts will not be strong today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be similar to yesterday:  no precipitation, light winds, and mild temperatures.  I will try to do some work outside today.  I will probably go for a run, and perhaps work on one of my cars.  I’ll need a flannel shirt to do so, but I won’t have to bundle up or wear gloves.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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