Central New Mexico Weather: 1/11/18

Yesterday was mostly cloudy, cool and windy.  There was off and on showers throughout the area, though just enough to get the ground wet.

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and a bit breezy.  It was quite windy all night.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a sunny cloudy day, with a high temperature of 51 F.  The winds will from the northwest at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be from the north at 15-25 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 25 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 15-25 mph, gusting to 35 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 28 F.  The winds will be from the west 10-15 mph.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the strong, gusty winds that will persist throughout the day.  They have issued several High Wind Warnings, and there is still a Winter Weather Advisory in the south.  The Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite image is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite image shows that yesterday’s clouds are exiting the state to the east.  Behind them are clear skies.

The enhanced low-level water vapor satellite imagery shows that the moisture is moving out of the state to the east as well.  Dry, clear air moves into the state behind the Pacific front and upper-level trough that gave us rain yesterday.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows and a moderately damp boundary layer, with dry air aloft.  There was 0.20 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  The Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 871 m.  There was no thermal inversion the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.6 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 33 kts low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 79 kts deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The skies are clear (according to the sensors) and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is high pressure over the Colorado Plateau, which has left a moderate pressure gradient over the state this morning.  The RAP shows that the high pressure will move east and weaken, thus weakening the pressure gradient over the next six hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows that precipitation is moving out of the state in the early morning hours.  Soon after sunrise, the state will be precipitation free.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The HRRR has the high temperatures somewhere around 23 Z, when we will reach the upper 40’s and low 50’s here in Rio Rancho.

The HRRR shows the winds gusts weakening after 16 Z for Central New Mexico.  This image marks the last bit of the gusty winds.

Thankfully, the little bit of rain we received yesterday diminished our fire threat. Now, behind the Pacific front, the skies are cool, clear and still.  It will be a cool, but dry and sunny day.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery, Winter Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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