Central New Mexico Weather: 1/4/18

This morning has been overcast, cool and still.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Rio Rancho, NM) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming 5 mph from the northwest this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 24 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming calm in the evening.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Socorro, NM) a mostly cloudy day, becoming mostly sunny, with a high temperature of 55 F.  The winds will be  5 mph from the north, becoming calm this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 24 F.  The winds will be calm, becoming north at 5 mph in the evening.

The NWS in Albuquerque, NM, forecasts (for Magdalena, NM) a cloudy day, becoming mostly sunny, with a high temperature of 54 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming northeast this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 29 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming west in the evening.

The visible satellite image shows that most of the state is under mostly cloudy to overcast skies this morning.

The infrared satellite image shows that these clouds are of moderate thickness.

The water vapor satellite imagery shows that there is small shortwave trough pushing through the state, and in front of this trough is a bunch of moisture.  This is why we have cloudy skies this morning.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque, NM shows dry air below 500 mb.  Above 500 mb, the air was nearly saturated.  There was 0.16 in of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH), and the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL) was 1779 m.

The hodograph shows that there is 15 kts of low-level shear (mostly directional changes) and 30 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear and the winds are light and variable.

The surface pressure chart shows that the state is under slightly higher pressure this morning, with no strong pressure gradients.  The RAP shows that this trend will continue for at least the next six hours.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity shows some precipitation in the southern part of the state.  This is expected to move southeast over the next few hours.

The HRRR has the high temperatures somewhere around 22 Z, when we will reach the mid-50’s here in Rio Rancho.

The HRRR shows the minimum temperatures will drop into the mid 20’s this evening.

Today will be cool and pleasant compared to our last week on the road.  I would love to spend some time outside, but it’s not going to happen.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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