Christmas Road Trip 2017: Day 10

Today is the tenth day of our annual Christmas Road Trip.  Yesterday was a dismal day, but we did make a trip out to Fredericksburg to visit some friends.  The weather turned even colder, and began to drizzle in the evening, but we never saw any snow.

Today, we will mostly hang out in Jersey, VA.  There are partly cloudy skies over this still and cold morning.

The NWS in Sterling, VA, forecasts (for Jersey, VA) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 37 F.  Winds will be from the west at 16-20 mph, gusting as high as 37 F.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature is predicted to be 23 F.  The winds will be from the west at 6-11 mph, but then shifting to the northwest and decreasing in speed.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear and the winds are from the west.

The HRRR simulated reflectivity doesn’t show a lot of precipitation in our region.  There are a few light returns over Jersey this evening, but I’m not expecting much (if any) precipitation.

The temperature will drop throughout the day, as cold air streams into the state from the west and northwest.

Today will be a cold, breezy and partly cloudy.  We are going to do some visiting today, but we will stick around Jersey, VA.

Thank you for reading my post.

Sources:
The forecasts from the National Weather Service are from The NWS Homepage
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The satellite data, model data, and forecasted soundings are from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery, travel and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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