Yesterday was mostly sunny, mild and still in the Rio Grande River Valley.
This morning has been mild, still and mostly sunny.
National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 71 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. Winds will be from the west at 10 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning Critical Fire conditions in Guadalupe County. Dry, windy conditions will be possible in this region.
The visible satellite imagery shows a few light, high clouds over the eastern half of the state this morning.
The infrared satellite imagery shows that there are a few clouds with cold tops over the northeastern and eastern parts of the state.
The water vapor imagery shows that there is plenty of moisture aloft, though very little of it is at the surface.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a drier boundary layer (below 650 mb), and damper air aloft. There was 0.26 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a thick thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.9 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 12 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 40 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The winds are light, and the skies are clear.
The surface pressure chart shows that a lee-side low has developed east of the Rocky Mountains, creating a moderate pressure gradient across the northern tier of counties in New Mexico. The RAP shows that the gradient will decrease as the pressure drops everywhere due to diurnal heating.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak to moderate northwesterly flow due to the trough in the east.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows a strong pocket of sinking air on the lee side of the mountains. This will set up a Santa Ana wind effect, increasing the fire danger.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows strong no strong thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is unlikely today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today will be another warm, sunny day in the Rio Grande River Valley. The NWS in Albuquerque has pointed out that we are on track to have the warmest November on record. One of the local businesses has a sign up that reads, “WINTER IS COMING…MAYBE?” That about sums up our weather.
Thank you for reading my post.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD