New Mexico Weather: 11/7/17

Yesterday was sunny, warm and still in Socorro.  It was a really nice day.

This morning has been mostly cloudy, cool and still along my commute from Rio Rancho to Socorro.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 71 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 41 F. Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of 66 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest this afternoon.   This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 40 F. Winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming east by midnight.

The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning some mountain snow, as well as fog, rain and a dusting of snow in the eastern plains tonight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that there are plenty of cool-topped clouds that have drifted over the state overnight.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is strong moisture flow over the state from the Pacific.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a saturated layer between 600 mb and 550 mb.  There was 0.49 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a tiny thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.6 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 27 kt of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 95 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and moderately low humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear in the south and cloudy in the north.  There is a cold front creeping into the northeastern corner of the state, as shown by the cooler temperatures and shift in wind direction.

The surface pressure chart shows that there is higher pressure over the Great Plains, and a slight pressure gradient over the northeastern corner of the state this morning.  The RAP shows that the high pressure will expand and weaken, leaving the gradient unchanged over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows strong zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows a few pockets of rapidly-rising air are likely this afternoon.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows some Cold Air Advection (CAA) moving into the northeastern plains.

The Precipitation chart shows that rain and snow are possible along the mountains and into the eastern plains of New Mexico by 00 Z.

Today will be cloudy and perhaps a little cooler as the weak cold front makes its way west.  The northeastern corner and the high terrain will receive some snow, but we will remain dry here in the Rio Grande River Valley.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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