New Mexico Weather: 10/20/17

Yesterday was cloudy, cool, and breezy.  There were showers and thunderstorms scattered all over the state, though I only felt a few drops of rain in Socorro.  I did get a picture of a developing thunderstorm earlier in the day, but it was moving away from me.  This was a strong updraft, as there was a pileus cloud above it a few minutes before I took this photo.

This morning has been clear, cool and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) patchy fog, followed by a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, increasing to 15-20 mph in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F. Winds will be southwest at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 10-20 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 61 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.   This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for their entire warning area concerning breezy conditions as a trough and surface cold front move into the area from the northwest.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that yesterday’s clouds are moving east and are clearing out of the state.

The water vapor imagery shows that slightly drier air is moving into the state from the west.  Yesterday’s moisture has moved to west Texas.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a damp boundary layer.   There was 0.63 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was 9 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -256 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.5 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 19 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 33 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and high humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there are no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state at this time.  However, as the low pressure system over Nevada moves east, our wind speeds will increase throughout the next six hours, according to the RAP.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no major pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chat has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that precipitation is not expected over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be breezy, but mild and sunny.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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