New Mexico Weather: 10/12/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, warm and pleasant.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F. Winds will be south at 5-15 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F. Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 49 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows some moisture return from the northwest.  The slot of extremely dry air from yesterday has mixed out, and is not nearly so severe.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows moisture return, with a nearly-saturated layer at 650 mb.  There was 0.57 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a broad thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.6 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 19 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 43 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and moderate humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that there are no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state so far this morning.  The RAP shows the pressure will decrease, statewide, with diurnal heating, but no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows moderate southwesterly flow as a phased jetstream and trough pattern deepens to our northwest.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows some rapidly-rising air near the NM/CO border.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

There has been some moisture return and the high pressure has decreased.  Today will be warm for mid-October, but a pleasant day overall.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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