New Mexico Weather: 10/11/17

Yesterday was mostly sunny, breezy and becoming warmer throughout the day.

This morning has been sunny, cold and still.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 50 F. Winds will be south at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 47 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F. Winds will be from the south at 5 mph.

The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for a few areas through this morning.  The Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that dry air has returned to the state.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows very dry air above 700 mb.   There was 0.32inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a series of small thermal inversions near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.2 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 18 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 37 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures and moderate humidity, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.

The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure still exists near the NM/CO border, though a lee-side low is developing over eastern Colorado.  This will create a slight pressure gradient over the northeastern part of the state within the next six hours, according to the RAP.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light southwesterly to zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

High pressure and dry air will be the dominant forces again today.  The air will continue to warm, as Monday’s cold fronts have mixed out completely.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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