New Mexico Weather: 10/8/17

Yesterday was sunny and warm.

This morning has been sunny, cool and still.  It dropped into the low 40’s last night.  When I woke up, I saw my thermometer say 42.1 F.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 49 F. Winds will be from south at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 43 F. Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F.  The winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 46 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS has issued a Freeze Watch for much of the state for tomorrow night.  Temperatures are expected to drop to freezing or near-freezing levels, even as far south as the Albuquerque Metro area starting tomorrow.  The Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that some moisture has returned aloft, but it is still really dry.  The extremely dry air has pushed east into Texas.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows that the atmosphere remained dry again this morning.   There was 0.20 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.3 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 17 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 31 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, high humidity in the east and low humidity in the west, (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, and the skies are clear over most of the state.  There is a surface dryline running through the eastern third of the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients at this time.  The RAP shows that no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to develop over the state for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state.  The trough is still to our northwest, but most importantly, it is expected to pass north of us.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that the chances of rain are very small, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today will be warm and dry, though changes are on the way.  Today should be pleasant, and I am going to go hiking.  Tomorrow, the weather will begin to turn cold.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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